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September 27th, 2012

TIR – Voter/Consumer Research Iowa Presidential Poll

By Craig Robinson

Later today, will release the results of its latest statewide survey of Iowa voters. This is the fifth statewide poll that has been conducted by Voter/Consumer Research for since July of 2009.

Dr. Jan van Lohuizen, founder and president the Houston, Texas, based Voter/Consumer Research, conducted the poll of 500 registered voters by live telephone interviews between the dates of September 23, and September 25, 2012. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent.

The TIR – Voter/Consumer Research poll has a strong history of accurately capturing the political climate in Iowa. The poll also has a history of asking provocative questions that provide insight into the ever-changing political landscape in Iowa.

In July of 2009, the poll presented Iowans with a hypothetical matchup between then Governor Chet Culver and former Republican Governor Terry Branstad. The poll showed Branstad with a commanding 16-point lead over Culver. The poll also showed Branstad winning each of the state’s five Congressional Districts, a feat that Branstad accomplished in November of 2010. The TIR – Voter/Consumer Research Poll was able to capture Branstad’s strength six months before he became an official candidate.

Our February 2010 poll showed that Branstad’s polling numbers were no fluke, and that more Iowans felt that the state was heading in the wrong direction. In August of 2010, TIR – Voter/Consumer Research Poll showed a young attorney from Council Bluffs leading then-Iowa Secretary of State Michael Mauro. That young attorney’s name is Matt Schultz, Iowa’s current Secretary of State.

The last statewide poll conducted by was in July of 2011. That poll was conducted soon after Michele Bachmann officially entered the presidential race and shined in a presidential debate in New Hampshire. She led the field of candidates, but the poll also showed Romney’s continued strength in Iowa despite not campaigning in Iowa. Rick Santorum went on to win the caucuses, but Romney maintained strength.

Our latest poll obviously focuses on the presidential race, but also includes a number of state specific questions that are important to Iowans. Later today, will release the poll results of the presidential race. After that, we will explore the opinions of Iowans on a wide verity of issues, and the results may surprise you.

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About the Author

Craig Robinson
Craig Robinson is the founder and editor-in-chief of, a political news and commentary site he launched in March of 2009. Robinson’s political analysis is respected across party lines, which has allowed him to build a good rapport with journalist across the country. Robinson has also been featured on Iowa Public Television’s Iowa Press, ABC’s This Week, and other local television and radio programs. Campaign’s & Elections Magazine recognized Robinson as one of the top influencers of the 2012 Iowa Caucuses. A 2013 Politico article sited Robinson and as the “premier example” of Republican operatives across the country starting up their own political news sites. His website has been repeatedly praised as the best political blog in Iowa by the Washington Post, and in January of 2015, Politico included him on the list of local reporters that matter in the early presidential states. Robinson got his first taste of Iowa politics in 1999 while serving as Steve Forbes’ southeast Iowa field coordinator where he was responsible for organizing 27 Iowa counties. In 2007, Robinson served as the Political Director of the Republican Party of Iowa where he was responsible for organizing the 2007 Iowa Straw Poll and the 2008 First-in-the-Nation Iowa Caucuses. Following the caucuses, he created his own political news and commentary site, Robinson is also the President of Global Intermediate, a national mail and political communications firm with offices in West Des Moines, Iowa, and Washington, D.C. Robinson utilizes his fundraising and communications background to service Global’s growing client roster with digital and print marketing. Robinson is a native of Goose Lake, Iowa, and a 1999 graduate of St. Ambrose University in Davenport, where he earned degrees in history and political science. Robinson lives in Ankeny, Iowa, with his wife, Amanda, and son, Luke. He is an active member of the Lutheran Church of Hope.

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