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July 11th, 2012

Polling Shows Loebsack is an Endangered Incumbent

Today the Archer for Congress campaign released internal polling numbers that demonstrate that Iowa’s “least effective member” Congressman Dave Loebsack’s re-election is in peril.

Despite the fact that Congressman Loebsack has represented a majority of the new 2nd District his measures of incumbency are low.  In addition, his position on the ballot is below 50% and more than a third of Iowa voters are unsure about whether they approve of Loebsack’s performance in office.   Only a third (33%) would re-elect him today, while (38%) of voters indicate they think it’s time to give a ‘new person’ a chance.   At 48%, Loebsack is merely 5 points ahead of Archer on the ballot (the margin of error for the survey).

“Loebsack’s weak re-elect numbers indicate he should be considered a vulnerable Democrat incumbent this cycle.  Iowans are clearly frustrated at the direction of our country and Dave Loebsack is clearly not immune from the backlash.   As the race stands today, Dave Loebsack is an endangered incumbent,” said Brian Tringali, partner at the Tarrance Group.

John Archer added, “These poll numbers back up what we’re hearing from voters as I travel the district.   People are desperate for change.  A majority of voters disagree with Loebsack’s support for ObamaCare; they disagree with his continued support of deficit spending and are tired of failed economic policies that have done little to put people back to work.”

Of note the poll was conducted prior to the Supreme Court’s ruling on ObamaCare.

About the Poll:  The Tarrance Group was commissioned by the Archer for Congress campaign and the National Republican Congressional Committee to conduct a telephone survey of N=400 registered “likely” voters in the newly formed 2nd District.  A random sample of this type is likely to yield a margin of error of +4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.  Responses to the survey were gathered June 25-27, 2012.

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The Iowa Republican

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