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July 18th, 2011
 

Pancakes & Politics – How the Candidates Stack Up

Once a month, a small group of central Iowa Republicans gathers at the Drake Diner for what we call Pancakes & Politics.  There is no formal program, it’s just a group of plugged-in Republicans who like to get together to discus presidential politics among other things.

Yesterday’s group was our largest yet, as twelve of us braved the high temperatures of the diner’s patio.  In addition to normal conversations, this time we surveyed the group to see what they think will happen in the upcoming Straw Poll and the caucuses this coming February.

The group predicts that Michele Bachmann will win the Ames Straw Poll.  Bachmann received eight first place votes.  Ron Paul received two first place votes, while Tim Pawlenty and Rick Santorum each got one first place vote.

Ron Paul was the clear favorite to finish in second place in Ames with the group.  He received six-second place votes, followed by three for Pawlenty, two for Bachmann, one for Santorum and McCotter.  Pawlenty was the favorite third place pick.  He got five third place votes.  Santorum and Paul each received two, and McCotter and Cain each got one-third place vote.

The second question asked people to predict the top three spots in the caucuses.  While this is much more difficult to predict, the results were fascinating.  Bachmann once again led the field of candidates, but she tied Rick Perry with five votes.  In fact, Bachmann and Perry tied for first place votes with five, second place votes with three, and third place votes with one.

Mitt Romney was the favorite to finish in the third spot.  He received five third place votes.  He also got a first and two second place votes.  Sarah Palin got one first, second, and third place vote.  Ron Paul got a second and third place votes.  Rick Santorum got two-second place votes and a third place vote.  Tim Pawlenty got two third place votes.

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About the Author

Craig Robinson
Craig Robinson is the founder and editor-in-chief of TheIowaRepublican.com, a political news and commentary site he launched in March of 2009. Robinson’s political analysis is respected across party lines, which has allowed him to build a good rapport with journalist across the country. Robinson has also been featured on Iowa Public Television’s Iowa Press, ABC’s This Week, and other local television and radio programs. Campaign’s & Elections Magazine recognized Robinson as one of the top influencers of the 2012 Iowa Caucuses. A 2013 Politico article sited Robinson and TheIowaRepublican.com as the “premier example” of Republican operatives across the country starting up their own political news sites. His website has been repeatedly praised as the best political blog in Iowa by the Washington Post, and in January of 2015, Politico included him on the list of local reporters that matter in the early presidential states. Robinson got his first taste of Iowa politics in 1999 while serving as Steve Forbes’ southeast Iowa field coordinator where he was responsible for organizing 27 Iowa counties. In 2007, Robinson served as the Political Director of the Republican Party of Iowa where he was responsible for organizing the 2007 Iowa Straw Poll and the 2008 First-in-the-Nation Iowa Caucuses. Following the caucuses, he created his own political news and commentary site, TheIowaRepublcian.com. Robinson is also the President of Global Intermediate, a national mail and political communications firm with offices in West Des Moines, Iowa, and Washington, D.C. Robinson utilizes his fundraising and communications background to service Global’s growing client roster with digital and print marketing. Robinson is a native of Goose Lake, Iowa, and a 1999 graduate of St. Ambrose University in Davenport, where he earned degrees in history and political science. Robinson lives in Ankeny, Iowa, with his wife, Amanda, and son, Luke. He is an active member of the Lutheran Church of Hope.




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