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June 10th, 2010

Primary Hindsight & Lt. Gov. Forsight

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Written by: Battleground Iowa
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By Emily Geiger

It’s always interesting to see how close or how far off those pre-election predictions were once the big day has come and gone.

I got Branstad’s win right, but I had the margin a little off. He still hit 50% and he still had a decisive win, but Roberts didn’t do as well as I had expected, and the support he didn’t get obviously went to Vander Plaats.

I got the 3rd District wrong, but kind of right in a way. Obviously, Zaun won big thanks to Polk County. However, if you take Polk County out of the mix, the numbers would have been:

Gibbons: 42%

Zaun: 24%

Funk: 24%

Zaun would have only beat Funk out for 2nd place by 6 votes.

So, what I had been hearing about grassroots support for Gibbons in the rural counties was very accurate. I just thought more of that would have made its way into Polk County to make things closer there. If Gibbons had found a way to be competitive in Polk County, it would have been his.

Unfortunately for Gibbons, the Polk County votes made up 67% of the votes cast in the 3rd District primary, and Polk County is Zaun’s stronghold. If you didn’t have a good ground operation there, things weren’t going to turn out well.

Second Congressional District… what can I say? That place is unpredictable, and especially so where I’m concerned. I haven’t been following that race as closely as in years past, but I thought for sure Miller-MeeMeeks’ competitors would have been, well, more competitive.

Reed did better than I expected, but I had low expectations. Gettemy did much worse. Maybe the Christian conservatives weren’t so thrilled with the booby girl affiliation after all. As for Rathje, I think people are suspicious of the tan. I know I am. Anyways, congrats to Miller-Meeks on a decisive win. Now she just needs to figure out how to put a fork in Loebsack once and for all.

Lange won the 1st District as I expected, but the two lesser known candidates of the four did much better than I anticipated. Frankly, I didn’t think they had registered on the radar enough to even name them. But, in the end, it didn’t matter. Lange still beat his closed competitor, Tea Party guy Will Johnson, by 30%. So, it appears Johnson was hurt by the support of the lesser-known candidates, not Lange.

Let the Speculation Begin

And now it’s time for the speculation to start on the Lieutenant Governor pick by Branstad. I’m sure others with much more knowledge of the situation can speak to that much better than I can. Although, I will say one thing. I know the trend as of late has been to pick a female running mate. I think that’s stupid, because, frankly, the women that have been picked have not been the most qualified, nor have they been true gubernatorial material. If that had been, I think we would have seen a Governor Corning or Pederson. And no, Patty Judge isn’t any better.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m all about celebrating women breaking the glass ceiling and touting their accomplishments, but I’m also all about picking the person who is best for the job. Sometimes that’s a woman. Sometimes it’s not. Branstad shouldn’t feel obligated to pick someone whose greatest qualification is having ovaries.

Branstad needs to pick someone who is not only younger, but someone who is energetic, articulate, and would be an ideal candidate for the top job. Let’s face it, Branstad isn’t going to be doing another 16 years in office, so let’s get someone some face time who will be ready to go when Branstad retires (again).

And on a side note…

Our thoughts and prayers go out to Iowa Democratic Party Chairman Michael Kiernan and his family upon the news of his tumor and impending surgery. That has to be scary, especially for someone so young. Let’s pray that it’s not cancer and that he has a successful operation and a speedy recovery… so we can get back to disagreeing with him about everything;-)

About the Author

Battleground Iowa
Emily Geiger writes from a conservative perspective on everything from politics to religion to pop culture. Like the original Emily of Revolutionary War era, this Emily is delivering important messages crucial to winning the raging war of the time, but today, this is a culture war rather than a traditional one. And, like the original Emily, sometimes it takes a woman to do (or say) that which lesser men lack the courage and tenacity to do.

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