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July 8th, 2009

TIR Statewide Gubernatorial Poll

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Written by: Craig Robinson
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tir-pollThe Iowa Republican recently commissioned a statewide gubernatorial poll in conjunction with Concordia Group LLC, an Iowa based public affairs company. The poll was conducted by Voter Consumer Research, a highly respected polling firm based in Washington D.C.

Voter Consumer Research was founded by Dr. Jan van Lohuizen, an expert in the field of public policy and public opinion research. Dr. van Lohuizen was President George W. Bush’s primary pollster and has provided his services to a number of political candidates, corporations, and various think tanks.

The general election sample consists of 500 Iowans, and the Republican primary sample made up of 394 Republican voters. The poll was conducted on July 2nd and July 5-6th and has a statewide margin of error of 3.7% and a Republican primary margin of error of 5%. The statewide poll consists of 35% Republicans, 37% Democrats, 25% Independent or declined to state, and 2% other/don’t know.

Every Republican candidate who has either filed the necessary paperwork to run for governor or indicated that they are seriously considering or exploring the possibility of a gubernatorial bid was included in the poll. Even the new entrants to the Republican primary field, Christian Fong and State Senator Paul McKinley were included.

The poll is extremely timely with the recent announcements by Fong and McKinley that they are actively campaigning for the Republican nomination for Governor. Over the next nine days, The Iowa Republican will be releasing the findings of the poll and analyzing what it means.

We will look at Governor Culver’s approval and re-elect numbers, compare how the various GOP contenders stack up against each other on the primary ballot, and explore what Iowans, as well as Republican primary voters, think are the top issues. We will see how big of a role abortion and gay marriage will play in next year’s elections.

There is one conclusion that is evident after looking at the results – Governor Chet Culver can be defeated next November.


About the Author

Craig Robinson
Craig Robinson is the founder and editor-in-chief of TheIowaRepublican.com, a political news and commentary site he launched in March of 2009. Robinson’s political analysis is respected across party lines, which has allowed him to build a good rapport with journalist across the country. Robinson has also been featured on Iowa Public Television’s Iowa Press, ABC’s This Week, and other local television and radio programs. Campaign’s & Elections Magazine recognized Robinson as one of the top influencers of the 2012 Iowa Caucuses. A 2013 Politico article sited Robinson and TheIowaRepublican.com as the “premier example” of Republican operatives across the country starting up their own political news sites. His website has been repeatedly praised as the best political blog in Iowa by the Washington Post, and in January of 2015, Politico included him on the list of local reporters that matter in the early presidential states. Robinson got his first taste of Iowa politics in 1999 while serving as Steve Forbes’ southeast Iowa field coordinator where he was responsible for organizing 27 Iowa counties. In 2007, Robinson served as the Political Director of the Republican Party of Iowa where he was responsible for organizing the 2007 Iowa Straw Poll and the 2008 First-in-the-Nation Iowa Caucuses. Following the caucuses, he created his own political news and commentary site, TheIowaRepublcian.com. Robinson is also the President of Global Intermediate, a national mail and political communications firm with offices in West Des Moines, Iowa, and Washington, D.C. Robinson utilizes his fundraising and communications background to service Global’s growing client roster with digital and print marketing. Robinson is a native of Goose Lake, Iowa, and a 1999 graduate of St. Ambrose University in Davenport, where he earned degrees in history and political science. Robinson lives in Ankeny, Iowa, with his wife, Amanda, and son, Luke. He is an active member of the Lutheran Church of Hope.




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